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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003498824
In the presence of dispersed information, agents may decide to take into account the actions of other agents because of the possible additional information conveyed by these actions. We call the act of using other agents' actions in the individual decision process social learning. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489440
A common practice in empirical macroeconomics is to examine alternative recursive orderings of the variables in structural vector autogressive (VAR) models. When the implied impulse responses look similar, the estimates are considered trustworthy. When they do not, the estimates are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463407
exported primary commodities, imported capital goods and intermediate inputs, and a financial shock, modeled as fluctuations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781698
This survey features three parts. The first one covers the recent literature on domestic (i.e., country-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119543
inventories react strongly and positively to news about future increases in total factor productivity. Theory suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119865
This paper presents a dynamic theory of housing market fluctuations. It develops a life-cycle model where households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398664
We identify total factor productivity (TFP) news shocks using standard VAR methodology and document a new stylized fact: in response to news about future increases in TFP, inventories rise and comove positively with other major macroeconomic aggregates. We show that the standard theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213178
How much does inequality matter for the business cycle and vice versa? Using a Bayesian likelihood approach, we estimate a heterogeneous-agent New-Keynesian (HANK) model with incomplete markets and portfolio choice between liquid and illiquid assets. The model enlarges the set of shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162730
Why do advanced economies fall into prolonged periods of economic stagnation, particularly in the aftermath of credit booms? We present a model of persistent aggregate demand shortage based on strong liquidity preferences of households, in which we incorporate financial imperfections to study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774952