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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

to Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741

Diagnostic Tests of Cross Section Independence for Nonlinear Panel Data Models

Hsiao, Cheng; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2014

In this paper we discuss tests for residual cross section dependence in nonlinear panel data models. The tests are based on average pair-wise residual correlation coefficients. In nonlinear models, the definition of the residual is ambiguous and we consider two approaches: deviations of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051110

Beyond the DSGE Straitjacket

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

has become a straitjacket that restricts empirical and theoretical experimentation and inhibits innovation and that the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126144

Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011

This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942

An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters

Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012

-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701

Testing Weak Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012

This paper considers testing the hypothesis that errors in a panel data model are weakly cross sectionally dependent, using the exponent of cross-sectional dependence α, introduced recently in Bailey, Kapetanios and Pesaran (2012). It is shown that the implicit null of the CD test depends on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108232

An Exponential Class of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects

Al-Sadoon, Majid - 2012

This paper develops a model for dynamic binary choice panel data that allows for unobserved heterogeneity to be arbitrarily correlated with covariates. The model is of the exponential type. We derive moment conditions that enable us to eliminate the unobserved heterogeneity term and at the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096447

Predictability of Asset Returns and the Efficient Market Hypothesis

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010

This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141228

Infinite Dimensional VARs and Factor Models

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

This paper introduces a novel approach for dealing with the 'curse of dimensionality' in the case of large linear dynamic systems. Restrictions on the coefficients of an unrestricted VAR are proposed that are binding only in a limit as the number of endogenous variables tends to infinity. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316638

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021

This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934