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The paper discusses a model in which growth is a negative function of fiscal burden. Moreover, growth discontinuously switches from high to low as fiscal burden reaches a critical level. Growth collapse is associated with a Sudden Stop of capital inflows, real depreciation and a drop in output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223561
collapse of output in East Asia following the 1997 crisis, we find that the unexpected (forecast error) collapse of output in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240616
We use data from the Groningen Growth and Development Centre (GGDC) database to perform preliminary empirical analysis of the interplay between quality and quantity of finance in accounting for the output growth of ten sectors. We review the existing literature and some salient open questions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029019
be more different. Common wisdom has it that on impact Asia endured fiscal austerity imposed by the IMF whereas the IMF … different policies to begin with, the fiscal adjustment in Asia was far more modest than is commonly known and the switch from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060259
We re-examine the role of financial market development in the intersectoral allocation of resources. Specifically, we propose the use of a new methodology that looks at the co-movement in growth rates across pairs of countries to examine the role of financial development in allowing firms to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242889
This paper reviews the evolving literature that links financial development, financial crises, and economic growth in the past 20 years. The initial disconnect—with one literature focusing on the effect of financial deepening on long-run growth and another studying its impact on volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922229
The future looked bright for Argentina in the early twentieth century. It had already achieved high levels of income per capita and was moving away from authoritarian government towards a more open democracy. Unfortunately, Argentina never finished the transition. The turning point occurred in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151645
The accumulation of international reserves by emerging markets raises the question of how to best utilize these funds. This paper explores two routes through which the pooling of reserves could enhance stability and welfare. First, the reserve pool could be used for emergency lending in response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760717
We model the panic of 2008 as part of the wealth and substitution effects deriving from a housing price crash that began in 2006. The dissipation of the wealth effect stimulates a reorganization of the banking industry and increases in employment, GDP, and unemployment. The release of resources...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769272
In this paper I analyze the role of openness and globalization in Latin America's economic development. The paper is divided into two distinct part: I first (Sections II through IV) provide an analysis of 60 years of the region's economic history, that go form the launching of the Alliance for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771804