Die überraschend schnelle wirtschaftliche Erholung der asiatischen Krisenländer (Indonesien, Korea, Malaysia, die Philippinen und Thailand) ging mit makroökonomischen Anpassungsmaßnahmen und strukturellen Reformen im Finanz- und Unternehmenssektor einher. Gleichwohl unterscheiden sich die...

We propose a modeling framework which allows for creating probability predictions on a future market crash in the medium term, like sometime in the next five days. Our framework draws upon noticeable similarities between stock returns around a financial market crash and seismic activity around...

We propose a modeling framework which allows for creating probability predictions on a future market crash in the medium term, like sometime in the next five days. Our framework draws upon noticeable similarities between stock returns around a financial market crash and seismic activity around...