Pt. 1. 2008: after the crash. The worst market crisis in 60 years ; The perilous price of oil ; Paulson cannot be allowed a blank check ; Recapitalise the banking system ; How to capitalize the banks and save finance ; America must lead a rescue of emerging economies -- pt. 2. 2009: The right...

In this paper we question the consensus of using a binary crisis definition for empirical crisis models. We believe that the most severe shortcomings of the crisis models today are in the crisis definition rather than the explanatory variables. We present a crisis model that is specified for a...