The objective of this paper is twofold. Firstly, it identifies and categorizes the currency crises suffered by Argentina from 1825 to 2002. Secondly, it looks for regularities in the behaviour of key macroeconomic variables in the neighbourhood of crises by means of graphic analysis,...

Blejer and Schumacher (1999) were the first to suggest that Central Bank's Value at Risk (VaR), a widely used composite measure of potential portfolio losses in the corporate sector, could be used as an early warning indicator of financial crises. We extend their research in two aspects. First,...

The objective of this paper is twofold. Firstly, it identifies and categorizes the currency crises suffered by Argentina from 1825 to 2002. Secondly, it looks for regularities in the behaviour of key macroeconomic variables in the neighbourhood of crises by means of graphic analysis,...

The right response to a speculative attack on the domestic currency by monetary authorities in a country with liabilities in US dollars has been a matter of hot debate among academics and policy makers especially after the East Asian Crisis. Using a modified version of the currency crisis model...