Asian development outlook forecast accuracy 2007-2016

Benno Ferrarini

This is done in relation to the benchmark of World Economic Outlook (WEO) projections by the International Monetary Fund. Amid much heterogeneity across countries and years, it has been found that ADO and WEO projections overlap quite closely. Both are inaccurate, especially during crisis years, suggesting that forecasters struggle to come up with reliable forecasts. Projections only sharpen when additional data and evidence become available over time and are incorporated during quarterly revisions.

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Year of publication:	2019
Authors:	Ferrarini, Benno
Publisher:	Metro Manila, Philippines : Asian Development Bank
Subject:	Asian Development Bank \| Asian Development Outlook \| International Monetary Fund \| macroeconomic forecasts \| World Economic Outlook \| Asien \| Asia \| Wirtschaftsprognose \| Economic forecast \| Entwicklung \| Economic development \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Asiatisch-pazifischer Raum \| Asia-Pacific region \| Frühindikator \| Leading indicator \| Wirtschaftswachstum \| Economic growth \| Wirtschaftslage \| Macroeconomic performance \| Prognose \| Forecast

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (circa 69 Seiten) Illustrationen
Series:	ADB economics working paper series. - Manila : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar], ISSN 2313-6545, ZDB-ID 2508948-1. - Vol. no. 568 (January 2019)
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature ; Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	10.22617/WPS199903-2 [DOI] hdl:10419/203410 [Handle]
Classification:	E17 - Forecasting and Simulation ; E37 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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