Flexibility of Adjustment to Shocks : Economic Growth and Volatility of Middle-Income Countries Before and After the Global Financial Crisis of 2008
Joshua Aizenman, Yothin Jinjarak, Gemma Estrada, Shu Tian
The pronounced and persistent impact of the global financial crisis of 2008 motivates our empirical analysis of the role of institutions and macroeconomic fundamentals on countries' adjustment to shocks. Our empirical analysis shows that the associations of growth level, growth volatility, shocks, institutions, and macroeconomic fundamentals have changed in important ways after the crisis. GDP growth across countries has become more dependent on external factors, including global growth, global oil prices, and global financial volatility. After accounting for the effects global shocks, we find that several factors facilitate adjustment to shocks in middle income countries. Education attainment, share of manufacturing output in GDP, and exchange rate stability increase the level of economic growth, while exchange rate flexibility, education attainment, and lack of political polarization reduce the volatility of economic growth. Countries cope with shocks better in the short to medium term by using appropriate policy tools and having good long-term fundamentals
Year of publication: |
June 2017
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Authors: | Aizenman, Joshua |
Other Persons: | Estrada, Gemma (contributor) ; Tian, Shu (contributor) ; Jinjarak, Yothin (contributor) |
Institutions: | National Bureau of Economic Research (contributor) |
Publisher: |
Cambridge, Mass : National Bureau of Economic Research |
Subject: | Wirtschaftswachstum | Economic growth | Finanzkrise | Financial crisis | Wirtschaftliche Anpassung | Economic adjustment | Schock | Shock | Schwellenländer | Emerging economies | Welt | World | Konjunktur | Business cycle |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | 1 Online-Ressource |
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Series: | NBER working paper series ; no. w23467 |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Mode of access: World Wide Web System requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files Hardcopy version available to institutional subscribers. |
Other identifiers: | 10.3386/w23467 [DOI] |
Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455214